The picture shows the American University, Associate Professor Weiss portraying human disappeared five years after the scene (Source: Global Science magazine)
“The Limits to Growth” in 1972 put forward the “limits of development of human society in 2015,” before it, whether in conjunction with a “cautionary common saying” like it will come true?
Deterioration of the environment in line with the prediction
Dennis. Meadows has made a definite answer to this: “Since 1972, atmospheric stratospheric ozone layer thinning in the global temperature rise, the continued spreading famine, the decline in groundwater levels, the disappearance of species, forest degradation, All of these are related to our original line with the conclusions. If you use the figures to illustrate, we can give this example: in 2000 the number of the world’s population with our computer models predicted that in 1972 the number of exactly the same, the model is given The growth in global food production is also consistent with the actual situation. ”
“Over the past 10 years, there are many new data further support our judgments. For example, the global per capita grain production in the mid-20th century, reached its peak 80 years, marine fish catches will continue to grow the prospect of no longer the existence of the losses caused by natural disasters has been increasing in the competition for fossil fuels is also increasing, and even lead to conflict. ”
“Therefore, I believe that our initial assessment is accurate: in 2010 and 2030, between the development of human society will suffer from serious problems. According to computer model calculations, the most pessimistic case, the development of human society will be at the end of 2015. ”
Extreme weather does not necessarily destroy mankind
Meadows added: “However, this is only an estimate for the average world level, a number of local development better, in the 21st century, the first 50 years have wanted to avoid the collapse of social development, but some areas have just entered the 21st century, has advanced into the situation continued to decline. In 1990 and 2001 for 10 years, accounting for 12% of the world’s population of 54 countries have experienced decline in per capita GDP. ”
“There, do not put the end of social development and so-called『 Armageddon 』linked. Mankind has survived for 20,000 generations, which add up to about 10,000 in the before and after a period of years, mankind suffered extreme climate change, But the indomitable human has not been destroyed. Therefore, for this latest large climate change, our generation can also survive, but I am afraid of social development will suffer a severe test, the earth’s population will be greatly reduced, we developed industrial civilization is going to experience tremendous change. ”
Try simple techniques to bring a win-win
The Club of Rome itself is more like a platform for exchange of ideas, few special places to study a particular project. “However, we currently have a very interesting energy projects not only protect the environment, but also access to energy. The project is called『 』clean energy from the desert, in fact, solar power generation. To rely on the simple and practical technology, people from the 150 square kilometers of desert to take to the sunlight, can produce enough electricity for use throughout Europe. This technique can also use the residual energy of the power generation process, to purify water, just to help solve the problem of shortage of drinking water in desert areas . ”
“You could say that the project for the power shortage of urbanized areas, as well as adequate sunlight, but the lack of drinking water in the desert region is a win-win situation of trying. At present, Spain and the United States, California, tried this technology have been carried out. We believe that The project to cover a vast territory of China, also has a very real sense. ”
It sounded the alarm limit of development of First Sound
In 1968, one by the world’s top scientists, politicians and entrepreneurs of small-scale non-governmental organizations was born in Rome quietly. At its behest, the young scientist Dennis Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Meadows and lead from six countries, 17 scholars, using computer models of human society and economic growth trends are analyzed, and in 1972 published “The Limits to Growth,” a book. This book the first time the earth’s limits and the limits of human social development problems in the world more than 3,000 million copies sold, in the green books ranked first. The Club of Rome and the “Limits to Growth” has since become an inspiration to contemporary environmental organizations, a milestone in the history of the human environment.
As the world’s most intelligent and most influential group of people to the Club of Rome’s members are actively searching for global climate change response. Deputy Secretary-General of the Club of Rome is about Georgia. Gail gave to reporters a few examples of this: The former Soviet leader Mikhail. Gorbachev in 1993, created the non-governmental environmental organization “Green Cross International.” Last year, he has an Environmental Protection who, in the British Parliament gave a speech on the serious consequences of global climate change. He spoke of, if not as quickly as possible countermeasures, climate change will bring a wide range of water tension, eventually leading to the planet 400 million people hungry and even death.
As an honorary member of the Club of Rome, Kenya’s Deputy Minister of Environment and Natural Resources Wangari. Wangari Maathai in 1977 launched the “Green Belt Movement.” Until now, “Green Belt Movement” in Kenya have been planted 30 million trees, tropical rain forests in the protection of ecological environment in Africa, while tens of thousands of people for employment opportunities, she also earned the 2004 Nobel Peace Prize .
There are well-known economist Hazel.亨德森博士. In her view, to solve the serious problem of global climate change, we must fundamentally change the economic factors that cause these problems. To this end, she was several government consultants.
Yog. Gail concluded: “As can be seen, because the identity and expertise of different members of the Club of Rome are now in a different way to find countermeasures to cope with global climate change.”